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INTERNATIONAL RESEARCH / PREPRINT

Does generative AI really increase e-commerce sales?

In seven field experiments spanning millions of users and products, AI's sales impact varied by workflow. We explain where we're seeing the biggest growth, what's missing from ad headlines, and how businesses can set up a pilot.

ACADEMIC WORK REVIEWED

Generative AI and Sales Productivity: Field Experiments in Online Retail

ResearchersLu Fang, Zhe Yuan, Kaifu Zhang, Dante Donati and Miklos Sarvary.

arXiv · First release: October 14, 2025 · Revised v6: June 29, 2026 · Preprint; the authors state that it has been accepted by Management Science · Source language: English

Open the original publication
ENGLISH REVIEW AND COMMENTARY: DIJITALPI

We explain the paper in plain English, discuss what it may mean for organisations and identify our own examples separately.

English review: 9 September 2026 · The source date appears in the citation above.

Published review

Source and editorial checks are complete. DijitalPi did not conduct a customer experiment for this paper.

LET'S READ THE RESEARCH TOGETHER

We first explain the researchers' question, method and findings. We then discuss how to interpret the results, clearly separating DijitalPi's commentary from the source.

01 / WHAT DID THE RESEARCHERS WANT TO UNDERSTAND?

Does generative AI contribute to sales on a real e-commerce platform, or does its impact remain only on production speed?

Fang and colleagues investigated whether generative AI changed sales and conversion outcomes in real customer-facing workflows, beyond saving employees time. By comparing different use cases within the same company, they examined where AI contributed and where it made no measurable difference.

Explaining the context · DijitalPi commentary

Saying “We use AI” in a company does not describe a single application. Refining the search query, writing a product description, answering the pre-sale question, and producing ad headlines solve different bottlenecks. This study makes this difference visible because it evaluates seven separate workflows on the same platform.

The study's strength is its field-experiment design: real users or products were randomly assigned to control and AI conditions. However, every experiment took place on one large cross-border e-commerce platform, and other companies may have different data, customers and existing systems.

02 / HOW WAS THE RESEARCH CONDUCTED?

How did they test the question?

Seven large-scale randomized field experiments were conducted throughout 2023 and 2024 on a single cross-border platform with hundreds of millions of active buyers and hundreds of thousands of sellers. Pre-sale chatbot, search query correction, product description, marketing notification, Google ad banner, chargeback defense and live chat translation were reviewed. The five streams contained detailed data such as views, clicks, orders, spend, conversions, returns, and points.

Understanding the method · DijitalPi commentary

The control group differed across experiments. Some presale-chatbot comparisons used no service or existing human support, while search improvements were compared with the previous machine-learning system. The percentages therefore reflect AI's added contribution to each existing workflow, not the model alone.

Sales growth is the change in total revenue. Conversion rate shows whether more people purchased, while basket value shows the average amount spent per buyer. The study found that gains came mainly from higher conversion and did not report a consistent increase in basket value.

03 / RESEARCH FINDINGS

The impact varied between zero and 16.3% depending on the workflow.

The highest sales increase was 16.3% for the pre-sales chatbot compared to the non-service control. Overall increases in search query and product description flows were around 2–3%. AI marketing notifications increased clicks by 3.1% and orders by 2.8%; the second result had poorer statistical precision. No measurable sales increase found in Google ad headline flow. The annualized sum of the four positive flows was calculated to be approximately $4.6–$5.2 per consumer.

Highest sales increase
16.3%Comparison of a presale chatbot with a no-service control; not the average effect of all AI applications.
Marketing notification
+3.1%Increase in clicks; order growth is 2.8% and has poorer statistical precision.

Source: arXiv v6: current summary, version history and full text ↗

04 / DIJITALPI'S EXPLANATION

How should we interpret these findings?

The most striking lesson is that AI makes its greatest contribution not in the creative work that shines brightest, but in the service flow where the existing friction is greatest. While improving the ad headline requires small margins in an already mature system, adding a working chatbot to a point where there is no service can make a bigger difference.

Initial quality was decisive in product descriptions. While AI enrichment increased sales by 6.5% for products with insufficient or shorter descriptions than fifty words, no significant increase was found in products that already had sufficient descriptions. This shows why it's valuable to quantify the gap first when choosing an AI investment.

The calculation of about five dollars per consumer per year is based on the linear addition of four streams; interaction, recounts, and full costs are not taken into account. The authors make it clear that this is sales growth, not net profit or full return on investment. In your own business, the cost of tools, integration, control and maintenance should be measured separately.

05 / CONCLUSION AND OPEN QUESTIONS

What did we learn, and what do we still not know?

The study shows that generative AI can contribute to sales in real e-commerce workflows, but the result depends heavily on the use case and the control condition. The largest effect appeared in the chatbot, while the ad-headline experiment found no measurable sales impact. The work is limited to one platform, a short time frame and a preprint release.

Where is the greatest friction in your business, and what does AI add to the existing process? Answering this requires a control group plus total-cost and post-purchase quality measures for each workflow, rather than grouping different tools together.

DIJITALPI'S APPLICATION COMMENTARY

What could this look like in your organisation?

We created these scenarios to make the topic concrete. They are not cases from the paper or measured client results.

EXAMPLE 01

Great impact in chatbot, silence in advertising

AI chatbot answers pre-sale questions; AI ad headlines are also used in the same period.

Can you write the total sales increase into both applications?

Open the recommendation for example 01

Try each workflow separately.

Separate users or products into control and trial groups based on application. Record simultaneous price, bid and traffic changes. Do not carry gains from one stream to another AI feature.

EXAMPLE 02

Help with missing explanation

AI enriches short, incomplete product descriptions, and the same process is also applied to already detailed pages.

Would you expect the same contribution from both groups?

Open the recommendation for example 02

Separate results based on initial quality.

In the study, while there was an increase in sales for products with descriptions shorter than 50 words, there was no significant increase in products with sufficient descriptions. Classify the level of deficiency in your own inventory in advance and report the gain by groups.

EXAMPLE 03

Conversion increased, basket remained the same

More people are buying, but the average basket value of those who buy does not change.

Did AI convince customers to spend more?

Open the recommendation for example 03

Distinguish between purchasing frequency and spending intensity.

Show the proportion of users placing orders, value per order, and total sales separately. Also track returns and points. This way, you can see whether the profit comes from more customers purchasing or from increased spending per customer.

TRY IT WITH YOUR TEAM

Select the single flow that carries the greatest friction.

Identify the step where the customer has the most difficulty finding information, selecting a product, or getting support. Try to use a concurrent control group rather than pre- and post-AI in the four-week pilot.

Check out our e-commerce marketing efforts

Source and ownership

Lu Fang, Zhe Yuan, Kaifu Zhang, Dante Donati and Miklos Sarvary.
Zhejiang University of Finance and Economics; Zhejiang University; Alibaba Group; Columbia Business School.

arXiv · First release: October 14, 2025 · Revised v6: June 29, 2026 · Preprint; the authors state that it has been accepted by Management Science. Open the original publication

The academic work belongs to the researchers named above. This page contains DijitalPi's explanatory review and original business examples; it is not a full translation of the paper.

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